Wednesday, July 7, 2010

EXCLUSIVE: BRAD GARRETT'S "STALKER" SPEAKS

OK, so the whole Brad Garrett stalking/impersonation thing is a little creepier than I originally concluded. Having spent a couple of days examining the situation and doing what other journalists declined to -- ask the accused for her version and check out her claims -- I'm in a slightly different place than I was earlier this week.

Before I go any further, I want to mention that you can hear the accused woman answer all my questions on a special edition of The Strip. Click here to play that or right-click here to download it and hear it at your leisure. It's, uh, unusual.

To review, over the weekend, the new Tropicana headliner told celebrity journalist Robin Leach that he was being stalked by a "he" who was impersonating him on Twitter under the name BaddGarrett. The same person, Garrett said, was calling ticket brokers pretending to be him, seemed to have uncomfortable access to images of him and his family and may have even been at his comedy show in the first week. Leach not only took to his blog to report Garrett's accusations without comment from the accused person, but he also was on his Twitter telling the BaddGarrett Tweeter that she was sick, twisted and heading for the slammer.

I interviewed Garrett on Tuesday for this coming Saturday's regular edition of The Strip, and we discussed this. He seemed aware by that time that the "he" was actually a woman and he knew, as I do, her identity and location. Yet he refused the suggestion that her mischief was nothing more than a Twitter parody or, at worst, a fraudulent impersonation. He thinks it's active stalking.

Having spoken to this woman twice now, I admit that it's really, really hard to know. Much of what she claims is zany and time after time what she said about what she's been up to on Twitter does not comport with reality. She initially claimed she had never impersonated Garrett but only intended to do some loving parody and help promote the comic's endeavors.

That may, in fact, have been largely true in the public Twittersphere, but she engaged in several private chats, known as direct messages, in which it is clear she is permitting and encouraging people to believe she is actually the comic. One person misled was Vegas comic Keith Lyle, who shared with me several DMs received from BaddGarrett over the course of weeks.

During the week of June 6, for instance, Lyle wondered why this account was not "verified," meaning the Twitter puts a blue check on it to indicate it really belongs to a celebrity or notable person. These were three responses from BaddGarrett:

1. @Kevin_Nealon does not have a check 2. Enough ppl here know me IRL. 3. I don't want a ck, too many hassles. So, believe what you want

I honestly don't care who people think I am. I don't do the ego thing. This is for fun, to test drive material, sharpen skills and PR.

Who wants the checkmark and the associated assholes that come with it. I can achieve evrything I want here without it

The correct answer, of course, would have been, "Oh, I'm not really him."

At one point, BaddGarrett about family to Lyle: "I kid abt my ex, but she's really a wonderful lady & we're still friends. You have to for the kids too."

So, OK, let's posit that this woman was pretending to be the actor in some instances on Twitter. Oddly, in others she was not. Both Las Vegas Sun ace John Katsilometes and the PR team at the Tropicana had asked and were told forthright that she was just a fan, and the Trop folks told me as late as last Friday in a public Tweet -- BEFORE the ruckus began -- that they considered @BaddGarrett to be a great advocate for the show.

When I confronted the woman about the Keith Lyle direct messages in my interviews, her answers were all over the place. First she claimed she never led him to think she was the real star, then she said she didn't want to disappoint him by saying she wasn't, then she admitted she had "used bad judgment" and that "it snowballed and I didn't know what to do."

The question is, does any of this make this woman a stalker? Does it make her physically dangerous? Here, again, matters are more complicated than they appear. This woman pleaded guilty in 2006 to stalking a cop in her hometown, and she explains the details of what she did quite openly on the podcast. She says she learned her lesson, would never do that again. But Garrett knew and mentioned that, so clearly that influenced his alert as to whether she was dangerous to him.

That's understandable. So I asked her this set of questions:

Friess: Have you ever had any personal contact with Brad Garrett?

Alleged Stalker:
No.

Friess:
Never met him?

Alleged Stalker:
Never met him.

Friess:
Never seen him in person?

Alleged Stalker: Never seen him in person.

Friess:
Have you ever been to Las Vegas?

Alleged Stalker:
Never been to Las Vegas.

Friess:
So when Brad says you’ve been taking photos of him and his family and his children, where did you get those pictures from?

Alleged Stalker:
I got them off Google. Off blogs, websites, Twitpics people take and post on Twitter. That’s it. I have no way of getting any other pictures of Brad.

I asked the alleged stalker to show me her credit card statements to prove where she's been. This got weird, too, as what she showed me were charges up until June 25, often more than one a day. She claims in the interview that after that she using all cash, but that's also coincidentally the same weekend the Garrett show opened in Vegas. What she provided didn't prove anything regarding her whereabouts in the time period during which Garrett says she might have attended the show.

I totally understand why Garrett is unnerved. But as inconsistent and strange as this woman's version of events is -- and you must listen to the interviews and see for yourself -- I've also never heard of a dangerous stalker who gives interviews to reporters or provides her phone number and address to them. The most likely scenario here is that this is a woman with a bit of a fantasy life and celebrity fascination who got carried away.

As you know, Robin Leach has taken great umbrage at my decision to examine this thing more closely, to question his decision to attack this woman so viciously and publicly and to try to tease out what made sense and what didn't. I forget sometimes that Robin isn't just some colleague but someone who enjoys celebrity himself. I'm not even sure he'd deny he has an obvious bias toward believing what longtime celebrity friends tell him.

This may be precisely where my background as a classically trained reporter clashes with his approach: People are innocent of crime until proven guilty. For powerful journalists to publicly declare someone a criminal without there even being any charges trips a switch in me. That's not what we're supposed to do.

If Garrett had wanted to avoid publicity over this, he could have dealt with it privately or quietly through the authorities. Instead, according to Leach, he asked Leach to trumpet the problem all over the place. Once that happened, following up by analyzing what is going on and trying to make sense of inconsistencies on every side of this debacle was a journalistic duty.

Who knows? If Garrett has a criminal case to file, we may some day know more. If not, odds are good this is where this will end.

The Show is UP: George Wallace Revisited

Miles was away and some interview plans fell through, so I took to heart a listener suggestion that instead of not doing anything some weeks, we ought to dust off an oldie. Except we did it our way; we revisited a particularly disastrous interview in the context of a whole new show. It turned out to be very entertaining. Subscribe (it's free!) in iTunes or in Zune. Click on the date below to make it play or right-click to save it and listen at your leisure. Enjoy!

July 5: The George Wallace Debacle Revisited
EXTRA:
The Original George Wallace Episode In Full



For years, listeners have heard us joke about it, but very few have ever actually heard it: The mythical George Wallace interview of November 2005. Every now and then, when we need a reference to someone who treated them badly, it’s always the late-night comic at the Flamingo. But was it really as bad as we remember? We’ll replay that this hour.

In Banter: Vegas websites and analysts behaving badly, an awkward Brad Garrett experience, dinner with Vajohna & Co., and more.

Links to stuff discussed:

George Wallace’s website
John L Smith’s piece when we changed our show name
Follow Mike_E, Vajohna, JeffThePianist and R_Roberti on Twitter
A Twitter picture of Vajohna’s birthday treat at Alex
The background on the Asian Equation
Yelp!’s listing for the fantastic, cheap Pho Thanh Huong
VegasHappensHere.Com on the problems with the Tropicana and Cosmo sites
VegasTripping.Com’s coverage of the Skyloft site’s problems
The comic-banter show Green Room on Showtime that Amy discussed
The Portfolio.Com piece on Bill Lerner’s weird Cosmo analysis
M&M World expansion is coming, according to the Sun
The Las Vegas Sun’s piece on ads on slot machines
The R-J’s piece on Harrah’s latest stirrings of Project Linq
The Sun’s piece with the oddly lofty views of Vegas’ high-end malls

Sunday, July 4, 2010

A Babe-Shaped Hole in Robin's Badd Tale

On his blog and Twitter feed this weekend, Robin Leach has reported the following:

* Brad Garrett has a stalker
* Brad Garrett is very upset about his stalker
* Brad Garrett's stalker is someone who Tweets at @BaddGarrett

He's so sure of it, he's called the Tweeter all sorts of awful names and wished jail and worse on the poor soul who has been doing an obvious and loving parody feed of the "Everybody Loves Raymond" actor.

Leach's stated timeline is already perplexing. Robin spoke to the comic yesterday, at which time he was, according to Robin's own Tweets, the first to show Garrett the Tweets in the @BaddGarrett feed. In that same discussion, Garrett told him:

“Two days ago, I triggered the legal machinery to really go after this person. He’s even called ticket brokers about my new Comedy Club shows at the Tropicana. He’s sent out dozens of fake Twitter messages pretending to be me and saying things I’d never say. But he’s fooling everybody into thinking it’s really me.”

Beyond Garrett's ability to travel back in time two days and get cops to probe something he didn't know about until yesterday -- totally cool, man! -- there's something else that blows Leach's harrumphing way out of the water.

The Tweeter behind @BaddGarrett EXCLUSIVELY!!! told me today... she's a she.

A woman.

That makes it really, really hard to be the same person who Garrett called a "he" several times in the Leach interview and who the comedian claims has "called ticket brokers about my new Comedy Club shows at the Tropicana."

Have any of you heard Garrett? He sounds a heckuva lot more like Harvey Fierstein than Margaret Ray. That's a really tough voice for a lady to even attempt, no?

At the very least, Leach must admit we may be talking about two different people. Garrett may have a stalking problem, but the real-world things that Garrett says are happening can't quite be coming from this Tweeter.

Sorry, old chap.

P.S. Looks like Robin's got a "stalker" of his own now. Ut-oh.

The Silly Triangle Of Robin, Brad & Badd

Robin Leach is going apeshit on his blog and Twitter feed on behalf of comic Brad Garrett because there's a fellow who uses the Twitter name @BaddGarrett who the Vegas headliner "exclusively" told Leach was upsetting him.

According to Leach, Garrett is getting the cops involved because he says the Tweeter has also been impersonating him by calling "ticket brokers about my new Comedy Club shows at the Tropicana" and sending "out dozens of fake Twitter messages pretending to be me and saying things I’d never say. ... He behaves as if he is me and has Twitter conversations with people as if he was me, and they all think it is me. It is not me." Garrett refers to the whole thing as "stalking" and told Leach that his "stalker" may even have pictures of his family.

The only problem is that Robin wrote in his own Twitter feed that Garrett didn't even know what @BaddGarrett had written until Robin showed it to him yesterday:



Uh, Robin? How would the real Brad Garrett know to say, "He behaves as if he is me and has Twitter conversations with people as if he was me" if he didn't know UNTIL THAT VERY CONVERSATION what might be being said in @BaddGarrett's Tweets? How could say "he’s had his lawyer go to the District Attorney’s Office and criminal detectives to hunt down the impostor" if he didn't even know what the Tweets said until YOU SHOWED THEM TO HIM?

Best case scenario: Garrett does have some sort of stalker or impersonator and he decided on the spot when Robin showed him a few select Tweets from @BaddGarrett that the Tweeter and the stalker were the same thing. And somehow Robin didn't think to say, "Well, Brad, how do you know this Twitter guy is the same guy?"

But wait. There's more.

Y'see, the day before Garrett complained to Leach, I publicly asked the official Tweeter for the Tropicana Hotel-Casino whether @BaddGarrett was actually the comic. I doubted it, but I figured asking would be worthwhile. And this is what @TropLV wrote:


In other words, the publicists for the Trop knew this Tweeter wasn't their headliner but they were HAPPY that @BaddGarrett was out there as an "advocate" for #BGCC, which is a hashtag for the Brad Garrett Comedy Club.

I don't know about any impersonations offline, but @BaddGarrett is and always has been a somewhat obvious parody Twitter feed. How Robin Leach didn't instinctively know that is truly baffling, but his Las Vegas Weekly colleague John Katsilometes himself wrote today (2nd item) that he's known it was a parody for weeks. A parody is not an impersonation, especially when the person doing the parodying acknowledges he's not the actual person whenever he's asked.

Parody Twitter feeds have a long history, at least long for the life of Twitter, anyhow. @NotSteveJobs, @BPGlobalPR and @ATT_Wireless_PR are three that I follow and giggle at. The last two are even less opaque than @BaddGarrett; if that really were the comedian, it surely would have been spelled correctly.

Many, many stars and notables have taken easy measures to clarify for the public which Twitter feeds are theirs -- including @Robin_Leach! Why did Robin not give his pal Brad the 411 on how to set up a "verified account" on Twitter the way he or @ActuallyNPH or @The_Real_Shaq did. Problem solved!

Instead, Robin's opted to be the voice of hysteria for Garrett, calling out @BaddGarrett on Twitter as a "fraud" who is "headed for the slammer! Good riddance to anybody this sick, twisted and mean!" Yes, those are actual excerpts of Robin's Tweets.

See, I reserve "sick, twisted and mean" to people who commit actual, usually violent, crimes. Making loving fun of a famous person in a manner that isn't even original hardly rises to that level. Robin Tweeted: "
You have tricked & deceived people into thinking you are him." Who? Somebody -- anybody! -- step up and say, "Yes, he told me he was the real guy and I've been damaged by this horrifying experience." This is something that Robin Leach believes we need to tie up our court system with? Seriously? I wonder how nutso Robin would get if someone poisoned his cat.

@BaddGarrett, whoever he is, has altered his bio to clarify for the truly joke-impaired what he's up to:


That really ought to be where the matter stops. At least via Twitter, the author of that feed has not broken any law. If he happens to also be calling people claiming to be Garrett, then maybe there's something there. But someone would have to prove that and right now there doesn't seem to be any evidence.

This Week's LVW Col: Thomas & Smack

Here's my second Sun Valley-related column, this one looking at Parry Thomas' views on where Vegas is today and what it needs to do. Enjoy. -sf


Thomas & Smack
Parry Thomas is still outspoken at 89,
and says Vegas needs a train to LA now

By STEVE FRIESS

One story in the news caught my eye as I flew to Sun Valley, Idaho, a few weeks ago to interview the man who made Vegas possible. Some Clark County commissioners were kvetching over whether to allow the use of some redevelopment money to help finance a new arena on the property formerly occupied by Wet N Wild, an idea they eventually nixed.

One intriguing reason: They feared that the competition with the Thomas & Mack would harm UNLV’s cash flow. That made some sense to me, but a few hours later, when I arrived at my destination, I decided to ask someone who ought to know. I mean, after all, Parry Thomas is the “Thomas” in the university landmark, and that first arena—and the university itself, really—was built largely because he and Jerry Mack acquired the land for it.

“Oh, that’s bull,” the 89-year-old Thomas replied. “There will have to be an adjustment, but I’m all for the new arena. It’s great for business and anything that’s great for business is great for the university. We add a big sports center and we add all kinds of activities. You get major sports, you’ll get some of the biggest gamblers in the world down there. There’s certainly room for two venues.”

Before you write this off as the mutterings of an out-of-touch oldster, keep in mind the speaker’s track record. In the 1960s, bankers Thomas and Mack loaned money to casinos when nobody else would. Because they secured the capital, the “good old days” happened.

You know what else Thomas thinks would held Vegas recover

Read the REST at LasVegasWeekly.Com

Friday, July 2, 2010

Strip and Petcast Are Live On Sat

I had said we might skip "The Strip" this time because Miles is away, but instead I've come up with a fun way to get through a week in which many of my efforts to set up interviews fell by the wayside.

Guest host Amy and I will do a new live show and play a classic interview that many of you have heard about but never actually heard: George Wallace! Yes! We'll banter about the week's doings and all that, but we'll also play the November 2005 interview in which Miles and I were treated spectacularly badly by the Flamingo comic.

SO... We're live on Saturday from 5-6 pm for The Strip after Emily and I do a pair of Petcasts from 4-5 p.m. Join us in chat and see us on webcam at LVRocks.Com or listen via a smart phone. Or wait for the podcast. Any which way, should be fun.

Cosmopolitan Las Vegas: And another thing!

Fresh off of taking note of the Tropicana's insistence that you telepathically buy tickets for its new Brad Garrett's Comedy Club, today I was trying to get the Web URL for Cosmopolitan of Las Vegas for that aforementioned Portfolio.Com piece. (The Trop site, by the way, has been fixed and I've been thanked via Twitter for pointing out the problems.)

It's not that easy to find out. Yes, if you Google "Cosmopolitan Las Vegas" it pops up in the "local business" listing with a map. But that's the ONLY place you'll find the correct link to the resort's site. And if you don't do it that way -- and search engines are used mostly when people are in the ballpark of what they're looking for -- you're screwed. What's more, a Google search for "Cosmopolitan of Las Vegas," which is the actual, formal title of the property thanks to a lawsuit with the magazine of the same name, you also do NOT get the property's website in at least the first several Google pages.

My first try in Google, in fact, was "Cosmopolitan Vegas." Not only did the hotel's site not show up on the first page, it didn't show up in the first six pages, at which point I gave up. Here's what the top of that search looks like now:


Up top are all the news stories about the fact that the resort is taking reservations now, with my Portfolio blog item about the analyst weirdness in there now, too. After that, VegasTodayAndTomorrow.Com and the Wikipedia entry for the place are the top draws.

The site itself, if you can find it, is a little troublesome, too. For some reason in Firefox my totally up-to-date computer doesn't have the right version of Flash:



I tried upgrading my Flash to the version they required, but it still didn't work. It worked fine in Safari, though:


But I'm not real sure why a major hotel-casino would even use Flash, though, knowing that it'll look like this on iPods and iPads:


Sounds like the Cosmo's web team has some work to do. I'm completely mystified how they don't even show up in any permutations I could arrange except for that local-business listing. The site's been around now for many months, if not years.

Portfolio (aka me) Analysis of Weird Analysis

Gaming analyst Bill Lerner of Union Gaming believes the soon-to-open Cosmo adding 2,000 rooms to the city could cause room rates to RISE. Uh, what? So I did a Portfolio.Com blog looking at that weird idea a little closer:

A Las Vegas Analyst's Odd Prediction

It has become incontrovertible conventional wisdom that Las Vegas is overbuilt and that several large projects came to fruition at exactly the wrong time. The city boasts nearly 149,000 hotel rooms, of which 11,000 were added since the recession really took hold in fall 2008 thanks mainly to the openings of Wynn Resorts’ Encore tower, MGM Resorts’ CityCenter and two expansions at the Hard Rock Hotel.

Yet late 2010 brings another debut, the $3.5 billion Cosmopolitan of Las Vegas, a hotel and casino project owned by Deutsche Bank. In mid-December, Cosmo plans to dump another 2,000 of its eventual stock of 2,995 rooms onto the flailing, bargain-basement Strip immediately north of the struggling CityCenter.

Which is why Union Gaming analyst Bill Lerner’s July 1 email blast made eyes fall out of their sockets. “Cosmopolitan, we’re not so concerned about Las Vegas Impact.”

Huh?

Could it be that he figures things are just so bad that they can’t really get any worse? How could yet another wad of rooms, especially those squeezed between the Bellagio and Aria (CityCenter's main hotel), not have a negative impact?

It’s very, very difficult to decipher Lerner’s logic, and after saying he’d try to call Portfolio back, he did not. But Lerner's note is yet another example of him crossing swords publicly with another analyst, this time Shaun Kelley of Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Kelley issued a June 30 report calling Cosmo “the largest negative for CityCenter and MGM as the market is clearly struggling to absorb” the 6,000 rooms added by the six-month-old $8.5 billion project.

Lerner refers in his missive to his comments being a reaction to “a competitor” and acknowledged to Portfolio that Kelley is his unnamed spar partner. And Lerner does, in his note, acknowledge there’s an oversupply in the market and even parenthetically notes that “one additional room is too much.”

Yet Lerner writes that room rates at the Cosmopolitan—the resort’s website is asking for $275 for opening weekend, well above the current average luxury Vegas room of about $200—could “have an odd, unintended impact on the market as it could pull rates UP (not DOWN as we think was implied in this competitor’s research report.)”

Lerner never actually explains how or why that would happen. His best bet is a fantasy, that “if operators theoretically colluded and took rates higher, we’re not sure demand would be negatively impacted of note.” Right, because Steve Wynn, Jim Murren and Sheldon Adelson, none of whom even like one another all that much, are seriously going to make such a pact. The SEC would just love that.

Read the rest at Portfolio.Com

Thursday, July 1, 2010

Is Brad Garrett REALLY at the Trop?

That's a rhetorical question, of course. I know the "Everybody Loves Raymond" star is headlining his own comedy club at the Tropicana because there's a billboard in front of the property and not just the compliant media but even credible, discriminating entertainment observers have raved about it.

But tonight I'm heading over to check it out for myself, and I needed to know what time the shows start. So, because I'm just that kooky, I went to the Tropicana's website. And here's the front page as I found it:


Huh. No Robbie Barone here. Let's try the "Nightlife & Entertainment" tab, shall we?


Not there, neither. Hey! Let's try that "VIEW SHOWS" tab there.


Nada. I know! I'll try the "Calendar of Events" link on the Nightlife & Entertainment tab!


Sigh. Nope.

As it happens, a couple minutes after I posted this, for whatever reason, the site's splash page started to rotate four images. It wasn't doing that earlier, I swear. And the fourth splash page is this:


So for a moment I felt a little dumb for picking on them. Except then I tried to click on the image, to go somewhere -- anywhere! -- for more information. And there's no place to go. There's no place to buy tickets. The rest of this post remained what you would find if you tried what I tried.

A good tip for selling stuff is giving people a way to buy it.

That's embarrassing. As the kids say, OMFG, WTF? The last time I saw a property treat one of its marquee show offerings like thi, it was Planet Hollywood vis-a-vis the Steve Wyrick show and we all know how that turned out.

I did finally find the show times. It's 8 p.m. tonight. I Googled "Brad Garrett Tropicana" and the first link was to a three-week old Trop press release. It was in there somewhere. I'm looking forward to the show, truly. And I'm hoping the Trop's website isn't the only funny joke.

Poll Showing Reid Up May Be Bogus

Here's something you don't see every day: The liberal blog site Daily Kos is accusing its own polling firm, Research 2000, of "fabricating or manipulating" poll results in such a way to make news and shape races. Kos founder Markos Moulitsas wrote on Tuesday:

“While the investigation didn't look at all of Research 2000 polling conducted for us, fact is I no longer have any confidence in any of it, and neither should anyone else. I ask that all poll tracking sites remove any Research 2000 polls commissioned by us from their databases. I hereby renounce any post we've written based exclusively on Research 2000 polling.”

Research2000 president Del Ali is denying any wrongdoing or number-fixing.

Politico's report this morning on this matter focuses on the firm's polls showing Lt. Gov. Bill Halter up over Ark. Sen. Blanche Lincoln in the June run-off in which she won and it seemed like a surprise. And in two pieces on the matter, Politico also pointed out curiosities in two other races, an Alabama Democratic primary for governor that showed one candidate up by 7 points a week before he lost by 24 points and another showing Carly Fiorina losing by 15 points a couple weeks before she won by 34 points to capture the Republican nomination for Senate in California.

But none of these reports noted the Nevada twist, the fact that Research2000 was also responsible for the widely disseminated and reported poll that appeared the week before the GOP primary that showed Sen. Harry Reid leading Sue Lowden, Danny Tarkanian and Sharron Angle. Here's Kos' raw data, and here's some of the headlines from (in order) the Huffington Post, Talking Points Memo and the Examiner:


The only news outlet to examine this that I could find was the Daily Caller, which noted that it's that Daily Kos poll that is keeping Reid appearing a lot closer than he may actually be to Sharron Angle in popular Real Clear Politics's tracking poll average. She's presently shown as ahead in by about 1.3 points, but remove the Kos/Research2000 poll and she's suddenly got an average 5 percentage point lead. That shows that just one poll with out-of-the-mainstream results can have a pretty dramatic impact and can make a race seem a lot closer than it is. That influences donors and press coverage, of course.

Interestingly, the Vegas media appears not to have bit on this one even though all have reported on Research2000 results extensively in the past. The Las Vegas Sun didn't note the Reid-leading element of the poll in its Angle-surging piece and the Review-Journal blog ignored the Reid-leading bit in referring to the poll's show of Brian Sandoval's growing strength over Gov. Jim Gibbons and Democrat Rory Reid. I can't be sure because his archives aren't online or searchable, but I have it in the back of my mind that Jon Ralston was dismissive in his daily email blasts. Nevada News Bureau noted the poll but did not analyze it.

To be fair, on some of the other races the Research2000 poll turned out pretty close to accurate. Sandoval crushed Gibbons 55-27, and the poll had predicted 48-27. Angle crushed Lowden and Tarkanian 40-26-23, and their poll had predicted it would be 34-25-24. Those variations can easily be explained by surging momentum in the closing days of the campaign that lifted Angle and Sandoval a little higher yet.

Meanwhile, the Huffington Post has now attached this startling notice to the top of their coverage of the poll:

EDITOR'S NOTE: The story below includes references to polling conducted by the firm Research 2000. The reliability and accuracy of Research 2000's polling has since been called into serious question by a report published in June 2010 by a group of statistical analysts.

Ouch.