Showing posts with label mgm mirage kerkorian. Show all posts
Showing posts with label mgm mirage kerkorian. Show all posts

Friday, January 4, 2008

News Flash: Vegas Real Estate Sucks

The Las Vegas Sun featured an excellent front-page piece today by Liz Benston on a lawsuit by 40 owners of MGM Mirage's Signature condo-hotel units complaining that their rental incomes aren't coming close to covering the huge monthly mortgage payments and condo fees.

It's a fascinating situation because as my dad and I grumble over paying the mortgage each month on our Panorama Towers unit with little evidence that we're close to selling it, we keep looking with envy at these other business models -- Signature, Trump, Cosmopolitan and many of the CityCenter options -- and thinking that at least those people stand a chance to defray their costs while waiting for the miserable real estate climate to recover.

It did seem like a good plan, except that folks in Benston's piece remind us that the casino's motives for filling hotel rooms can be quite different than a landlord or hotelier's. That is, the hotel will rent the rooms for below cost -- sometimes at $99 a night -- just to get the warm bodies into the building to spend money on the other casino amenities. Oh, and MGM Mirage gets about half the revenue from the rental, too.

The lawsuit, I suspect, has little merit. The contracts for all of these things are loaded with disclaimers and the MGM Mirage one, evidently, is no exception. Heck, Panorama Towers was a full year late in delivering our unit and then failed to fix the damaged things we spotted on our walk-thru for longer after our closing than they had promised. And yet there's no murmurs about suing, even though had we gotten our unit on time in the summer of 2006 when real estate was still a strong market, we probably would've done decently.

One of the odd bits in this piece are the owners who complain they were tricked when a salesman claimed that "the value of their units would likely increase as future towers were built and sold." That claim would seem to run contrary to common sense, no? More, newer units would leave older units in the dust, wouldn't they?

One thing the piece does not address is whether this outcome -- the lack of revenue for landlords and the stilted contracts favoring casinos and their owners -- will soften demand
for similar units over at CityCenter. It would seem that soft demand for condo-hotel over there could create a serious cash-flow issue for MGM Mirage. And, even worse, how would this impact the planned second Trump tower?

Incidentally, two loyal readers/listeners, Rob and Suzie from Florida, chatted on "The Strip" on the Dec. 27 episode about their stay at the Signature, rating it better than their experiences at Wynn and Bellagio. It's worth a listen, and their part begins just past the 1-hour mark in the show. As a tourist experience, if not an ownership experience, they really loved it.

Tuesday, May 22, 2007

Breaking: LV Sands May Want Mirage, TI

I interviewed Las Vegas Sands Inc. COO and president Bill Weidner for a while today for a few longer-term stories, but I asked about Kirk Kerkorian's bid to buy Bellagio and CityCenter. One real possibility is that MGM Mirage could be sold off piece by piece, so I asked him if the owner of the Venetian and Palazzo would want, say, Mirage and Treasure Island -- the stuff across the street. His intriguing response:

"It all depends on what the values might be. We have lots of our eggs in Asia, we have lots of growth coming out of Asia. We think there will be more venues to develop in Asia. We want to position ourselves to be the people for those types of developments. Our fundamental strategy still remains filling the pipeline with future development and building our value from the ground up."

So it's sort of a "sure, maybe." But if it was a definite "no" or even unlikely, he would've clearly said so. Can you just imagine what a stick-in-the-eye it would be if Sheldon Adelson ended up controlling the Mirage, the groundbreaker that arch-enemy Steve Wynn built? Man, that would be cruel.

The audio of this interview will go up later this week in the podcast feed. Weidner talks in detail about Macau, about Palazzo, about why they knew the Las Vegas Monofail wouldn't work and about why Adelson gets the smallest salary of any Strip bosses. If you're not already subscribed through iTunes, click here and join the party.